|English | Español||February 25, 2018 | Issue #63|
Fragile Political Alliances Form to Break the PRI's Decades Long Hold on Power in Oaxaca
By Nancy Davies
D.R. 2010 Noticias
So what about the elections? For novices in the baroque routines of Oaxaca politics, the first step involved getting the “opposition coalition” in order. This means that the non-PRI (the decades-long ruling party, Partido Institucional ) parties, with no regard whatsoever for ideologies, and no presently fixed candidates, had to receive from their state party headquarters respective permission to go ahead and join an opposition coalition. Thus while the state PRD, and state Convergencia were asked for permissions, they also had to consult their national parties. The national result, where 11 governors are coming up for re-election, is a hodge-podge: in one state an alliance of PAN and PT (neoliberal PAN and Workers Party) formed, while in another state the coalition is not aimed at ousting the PRI as in Oaxaca, but at ousting the incumbent PAN, so you see a coalition of PRI and PT. Whew! In Oaxaca, the voter weakness of all the coalition parties is revealed, particularly the PAN and the PRD. The PRD was hijacked nationally by “the chuchos”, (guys with the first name of Jesus), leaving presidential candidate Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador strolling the Oaxaca hinterland with baby drool on his shirtfront. Oaxaca, of all the states, had a large functioning PRD, especially on the Isthmus. But if the PAN forms a coalition with its arch nemesis PRD, which refused to recognize Felipe Calderon and refers to Lopez Obrador as the “legitimate” president, we can guess how weak those two parties feel. The PAN suffers from the piss-poor image of President Calderon, and the PRD has been decimated. To note how the wind blows, Convergencia (and who knows what their politics are, certainly not Left) hopeful Gabino Cué went off to visit Calderon to make nice, i.e., assure Calderon that Cué would not undermine him, as the PRD has done. With all that, in many states as well as in Oaxaca, the PRI by itself outnumbers any opposition coalition.
An exception to that might be caused by a rupture in the PRI. Here in Oaxaca, the fight for the PRI nomination is underway, and the worse they fight the better I like it. The revelation that Jorge Franco Vargas was signing with a false “licenciado”, meaning he signed public documents with a false law degree title, was well-publicized by Noticias. El Chucky, as we like to call him, is fading, but those moving into the front ranks are numerous, and either dull or scandalous. One suggestion made is that the teachers take on the roll of monitoring the election in July; I’m uncertain how that would be legalized. Poll watchers are just for decoration, they can not say or do anything.
The opposition alliance is not as incredible as it sounds, as long as you keep in mind that the only goal is to win, and political positions have nothing to do with it. Not only the parties, but civil society organizations like EDUCA and “Reforemos Oaxaca” (Let’s Reform Oaxaca), are working to ready a platform because it is assumed that whichever party fields the coalition candidate, the entire coalition will sign on to the platform. What, you ask, implement the platform? No, just sign on. It will certainly include citizen participation, referendum, recall, and maybe a second ballot in case of no majority. When evoking the mythic 2010 100th anniversary of the Mexican Revolution, the slogan for Oaxaca is: Fish or cut bait. Now or never.
In Oaxaca it’s no surprise that the PRI refers to the opposition alliance as something like a two-headed calf, a critter that was never meant to be and cannot survive. In addition, Franco Vargas has already started to undermine, bribe and co-opt coalition workers. Going beyond Oaxaca, PRI governments in other states stand determined to prevent alliances in Puebla, Durango and Hidalgo, declaring such coalitions illegal and throwing up a variety of legal blocks. Lopez Obrador insists that voters look at the candidate, not the candidate’s party. Well may he say so, since without the PRD, Lopez Obrador promotes Worker Party candidates, and incidentally, Gabino Cué.
The people? Well, I don’t suppose they will win much, but on the cheery side, in Oaxaca there’s nothing left to lose. Fracturing the PRI, after umpteen decades of their cement-and-death grip throughout the state’s twelve regions, has become the only, the most important goal.
The regions for electoral purposes: Cañada, Mazateca, Mixteca Baja, Mixteca Alta, Chinantla, Sierra Zapoteca, Región Mixe, Valle de Oaxaca, Mixteca de la Costa, Sierra del Sur, Istmo y Chimalapas. Oaxaca contains 570 municipalities (Chiapas has 118). Of the 570 “municipios”, 418 contain populations badly reduced by emigration, but predominantly indigenous. And therein they connect both the bad and the good: the marginalization of an extremely neglected and undereducated population, and the retention of local uses and customs based on mutual aid. The PRI caciques who in past elections collected voter credentials to photocopy, and assured the local voters that there was no such thing as a secret ballot, once again are packing food-boxes ahead of the elections. Maybe this time it will not work; Section 22 is going all-out for statewide rural education.
- The Fund for Authentic Journalism